AI and jobs
Whether AI displaces human work, which jobs go first, and what replaces them.
- DA
1 Jan 2026
Dario Amodei quoted
This is a topic that I warned about very publicly in 2025 , where I predicted that AI could displace half of all entry-level white collar jobs in the next 1–5 years, even as it accelerates economic growth and scientific progress.
↗The Adolescence of Technology (January 2026)darioamodei.com
- DA
1 Jan 2026
Dario Amodei quoted
To be clear, speed in itself does not mean labor markets and employment won’t eventually recover, it just implies the short-term transition will be unusually painful compared to past technologies, since humans and labor markets are slow to react and to equilibrate.
↗The Adolescence of Technology (January 2026)darioamodei.com
- 6 weeks earlier
- AK
17 Nov 2025
Andrej Karpathy quoted
The more a task/job is verifiable, the more amenable it is to automation in the new programming paradigm.
- 1 day earlier
- AK
16 Nov 2025
Andrej Karpathy quoted
AI has been compared to various historical precedents: electricity, industrial revolution, etc., I think the strongest analogy is that of AI as a new computing paradigm (Software 2.0) because both are fundamentally about the automation of digital information processing.
- 7 weeks earlier
- AK
25 Sept 2025
Andrej Karpathy quoted
HoldsMost current predictions about AI's imminent impact on the job market are naive.
There are a lot of imo naive predictions out there on the imminent impact of AI on the job market.
- 7 months earlier
- SA
9 Feb 2025
Sam Altman quoted
We will find new things to do, new ways to be useful to each other, and new ways to compete, but they may not look very much like the jobs of today.
- 4 months earlier
- DA
1 Oct 2024
Dario Amodei quoted
HoldsUniversal basic income is at most a small part of the answer to AI-driven job loss.
It could be as simple as a large universal basic income for everyone, although I suspect that will only be a small part of a solution.