Nate Silver
Forecaster, founder of FiveThirtyEight, author of The Signal and the Noise and On the Edge. Writes Silver Bulletin, where the predictions come with numbers and the numbers are later checked against what happened.
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Silver BulletinNewsletter Their newsletter: elections, forecasting and risk.
Polling models, election forecasts and posts on gambling, risk and prediction — the successor to their FiveThirtyEight work. Has a feed.
Recent
- FLIPR 2026 midterm election forecast 1 Sept 2026
- How popular is Donald Trump? 31 Aug 2026
- Who’s ahead on the generic congressional ballot? 31 Aug 2026
Show 17 more
- How popular is the Iran War? 31 Aug 2026
- A tour of the 9 key governor races 28 Aug 2026
- Do I really buy that Texas could turn blue? 25 Aug 2026
- A tour of the 48 key House races 22 Aug 2026
- Are Democrats on a summer sugar high? 20 Aug 2026
- Why does everyone hate data centers? 17 Aug 2026
- A tour of the 7 key Senate races 15 Aug 2026
- Prediction markets aren't magic 13 Aug 2026
- How popular is Elon Musk? 12 Aug 2026
- Everything is breaking Democrats’ way. Is it enough to win the Senate? 11 Aug 2026
- How FLIPR forecasts the midterm elections 11 Aug 2026
- What to make of Michigan 5 Aug 2026
- What Trump's latest slump means for the midterms 3 Aug 2026
- Goodbye, Iowa. Hello, Michigan. Which Democratic primaries will matter most in 2028? 29 Jul 2026
- What is agency — and how can you get more of it? 25 Jul 2026
- The DSA sweet spot: highly educated, downwardly mobile 21 Jul 2026
- PELE International Football Rankings ⚽ 19 Jul 2026
Link verified 1 Sept 2026. Recent items update automatically from the channel.
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Everything, newest firstFeed Posts, videos, repos and beliefs from every card above, in one stream.
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- FLIPR 2026 midterm election forecast 1 Sept
- How popular is Donald Trump? 31 Aug
- Who’s ahead on the generic congressional ballot? 31 Aug
- How popular is the Iran War? 31 Aug
- A tour of the 9 key governor races 28 Aug
- Do I really buy that Texas could turn blue? 25 Aug
Show 9 more
- A tour of the 48 key House races 22 Aug
- Are Democrats on a summer sugar high? 20 Aug
- Why does everyone hate data centers? 17 Aug
- A tour of the 7 key Senate races 15 Aug
- Prediction markets aren't magic 13 Aug
- How popular is Elon Musk? 12 Aug
- Everything is breaking Democrats’ way. Is it enough to win the Senate? 11 Aug
- How FLIPR forecasts the midterm elections 11 Aug
- What to make of Michigan 5 Aug