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Pandemic relief checks function mainly as retroactive social insurance rather than stimulus, because people receiving them during a pandemic save or pay down debt instead of spending.

open-ended posted by Noah Smith · 7 Feb 2021

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  1. 25 Jul 2022 · held 18 months

    Noah Smith quoted turned

    I had some theory and some evidence on my side for this prediction, and yet I ended up being very wrong about what would happen to consumption.

    I had some theory and some evidence on my side for this prediction, and yet I ended up being very wrong about what would happen to consumption.

    Four things I got wrong since I started this blognoahpinion.blog